Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.70%47.58%49.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.931.912.0553.76%51.81%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.95%52.30%52.42%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.801.8357.47%55.72%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 47.69%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 52.31%. For Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.41%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:15
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 20:58
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -10.34%E -5.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -5.32%E -2.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:15
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -10.34%E -5.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -5.32%E -2.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -10.34%E -5.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -5.32%E -2.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:15
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -11.30%E -6.07%K -13.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.