Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 73.22%1.37fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -13.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.35%73.31%73.07%75.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.281.3180.65%78.05%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.322%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%26.69%26.93%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.7829.85%28.47%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 73.22%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 26.78%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.35%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV +1.22%E +0.322%K +0.437%G +0.005%7.1%2026-04-04 13:54
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.412%E +0.110%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.4%2026-04-04 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:50
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 13:55
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.08%E -3.11%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:44
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:28
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.54%E -4.30%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:19
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:24
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 76.14%3.51I 28.49%NM 23.86%19.4%2026-04-04 14:20