Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 76.96%1.30fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -15.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.75%77.24%76.41%80.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.23%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV +9.44%
Edge +1.99%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.237%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.76%22.76%23.59%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.124.004.7527.03%24.28%25.00%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 76.96%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 23.04%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -9.96%E -8.51%K -58.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +9.44%E +1.99%K +2.52%G +0.237%6.5%2026-04-03 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -9.19%E -7.78%K -51.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +8.28%E +1.76%K +2.24%G +0.185%6.0%2026-04-03 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -8.42%E -7.07%K -44.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +5.98%E +1.30%K +1.66%G +0.099%5.8%2026-04-03 21:54
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -9.19%E -7.78%K -51.03%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV +2.75%E +0.618%K +0.796%G +0.022%7.2%2026-04-03 20:44
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.19%E -7.78%K -51.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +1.37%E +0.312%K +0.403%G +0.006%7.5%2026-04-03 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.88%E -5.68%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.08%E -0.490%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.88%E -5.68%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 19:14
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.80%E -3.04%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.11%E -5.01%K -27.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.11%E -5.01%K -27.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.11%E -5.01%K -27.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.11%E -5.01%K -27.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:14
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.11%E -5.01%K -27.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:15
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.11%E -5.01%K -27.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.80%E -3.04%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -11.53%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.80%E -3.04%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -11.53%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.80%E -3.04%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:40
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.80%E -3.04%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.76%E -3.99%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%5.2%2026-04-03 21:54