Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 80.40%1.24fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -4.34%
Kelly -28.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%80.21%80.40%80.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.1887.72%85.71%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 19.60%5.10fair odd
EV -5.93%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.33%19.79%19.60%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.684.754.8022.22%21.36%21.05%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 80.40%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 19.60%. For Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.18, with an expected value of -5.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.13%E -4.34%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 13:54
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.13%E -4.34%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.93%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 00:54
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.93%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 15:04
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:17
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.93%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 03:59
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 83.14%4.93I 20.28%NM 16.86%20.3%2026-03-22 16:49