Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 78.84%1.27fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -4.50%
Kelly -26.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.27%78.77%78.85%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.191.2086.21%84.25%84.03%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 21.16%4.73fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.23%21.15%21.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.404.404.5023.53%22.74%22.73%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 78.84%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 21.16%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -4.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -26.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.77%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 12:09
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -26.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 02:19
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.18%E -5.20%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.77%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:55
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.18%E -5.20%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.77%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:29
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.18%E -5.20%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.21%EV -6.46%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:05
Bovada🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.18%E -5.20%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 03:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.18%E -5.20%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:55
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.97%E -5.91%K -38.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 02:39
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.97%E -5.91%K -38.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.06%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:20
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -8.55%E -7.37%K -53.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%5.5%2026-03-21 17:04