Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 81.98%1.22fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -4.23%
Kelly -30.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%81.83%82.16%82.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1689.29%87.72%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 18.02%5.55fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.610%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.56%18.17%17.84%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.165.255.4021.05%19.37%19.05%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 81.98%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 18.02%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.40, with an expected value of -2.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.90%E -4.23%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.89%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.72%E -4.98%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.68%E -0.497%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.98%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.98%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 15:35
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.72%E -4.98%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 15:11
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.75%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.24%EV -7.91%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -8.09%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:38
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -14.40%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.36%E -6.52%K -56.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.49%E -0.847%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.36%E -6.52%K -56.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.49%E -0.847%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 16:30
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.36%E -6.52%K -56.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.49%E -0.847%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.36%E -6.52%K -56.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 16:34
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.18%E -7.31%K -68.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -8.09%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 82.47%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.53%5.4%2026-03-20 20:59