Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v Illinois Fighting Illini

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)

Prediction 76.15%1.31fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -3.85%
Kelly -19.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.21%76.09%76.25%77.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2583.33%81.54%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.321%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.43%23.91%23.75%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.543.904.004.1528.25%25.62%25.00%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 76.15%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 23.85%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.15, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.82%E -3.85%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.58%E -4.50%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.58%E -4.50%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 10:04
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.34%E -5.15%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.20%E -0.537%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:09
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.21%EV -6.34%E -5.15%K -27.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.79%EV -15.56%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 11:44
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 06:09
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -8.62%E -7.19%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -1.01%E -0.244%K -0.321%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.