Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 34.54%2.89fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.11%34.21%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.8040.00%37.43%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 65.46%1.53fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.58%64.89%65.79%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.451.431.5670.92%69.04%69.93%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clemson Tigers (Local): 34.54%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 65.46%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -13.64%E -5.46%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +2.11%E +1.35%K +3.77%G +0.080%4.1%2026-04-10 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -12.60%E -4.98%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -1.82%E -1.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -12.60%E -4.98%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -1.82%E -1.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 21:40
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.64%E -5.46%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.82%E -1.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.18%E -3.92%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 21:49
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.73%E -2.49%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.09%E -3.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 21:45
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.74%E -3.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.74%E -3.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.74%E -3.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 14:19
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.40%E -4.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 05:15
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.40%E -4.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.40%E -4.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 05:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.40%E -4.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:44
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.40%E -4.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:45
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.08%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -6.40%E -4.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:59
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.05%E -4.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 13:33
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:50
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:50
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.6%2026-04-10 21:50