The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Clemson Tigers v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 42.63%2.35fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.81%42.26%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.192.202.3047.85%45.64%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 57.37%1.74fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%57.19%57.74%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.641.621.7162.11%61.04%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clemson Tigers (Local): 42.63%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 57.37%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:59
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:54
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:59
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.65%E -3.04%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.48%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:59
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:00
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:00
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:00
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -10.91%E -5.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -10.91%E -5.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%4.9%2026-04-11 17:59