Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 46.25%2.16fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.50%46.60%46.09%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.002.1254.64%49.84%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 53.75%1.86fair odd
EV +2.67%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%53.40%53.91%55.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.731.9158.82%57.04%57.80%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clemson Tigers (Local): 46.25%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 53.75%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.37%E -8.40%K -18.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +2.67%E +1.40%K +2.93%G +0.078%7.0%2026-05-09 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.37%E -8.40%K -18.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +2.67%E +1.40%K +2.93%G +0.078%7.0%2026-05-09 21:59
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 22:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 21:52
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 21:58
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.43%E -4.26%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.47%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 21:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.47%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 22:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 21:59
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.88%E -1.37%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.08%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.08%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 21:59
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.08%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 21:59
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.08%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 21:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.08%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:59
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.95%E -0.921%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.62%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-05-09 21:59