Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.67%44.58%44.30%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.1951.28%47.67%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV +0.011%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%55.42%55.70%57.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.681.8061.35%59.10%59.52%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clemson Tigers (Local): 44.44%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 55.56%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.7998. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.8000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.011%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.34%E -6.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.011%E +0.006%K +0.013%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:54
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.34%E -6.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.011%E +0.006%K +0.013%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:54
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:39
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -4.90%E -2.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:58
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 05:49
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.12%E -3.41%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:24
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.90%E -2.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:34
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.46%E -2.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 07:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 07:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:19
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.46%E -2.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:19
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.46%E -2.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:19
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.46%E -2.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -9.43%E -5.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%5.2%2026-05-10 18:39