The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cincinnati Bearcats v Xavier Musketeers

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 75.04%1.33fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -11.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%74.92%75.40%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.251.251.2981.30%79.95%80.32%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xavier Musketeers (Visit)

Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV -0.164%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.08%24.60%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.784.0028.57%26.81%26.46%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 75.04%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 24.96%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.164%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.20%E -2.48%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 23:10
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.95%E -3.08%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 05:45
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 15:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.164%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 16:33
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.95%E -5.60%K -28.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:24
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.95%E -5.60%K -28.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 18:25
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.60%K -28.96%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.70%E -6.26%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.70%E -6.26%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:25
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.70%E -6.26%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%4.9%2026-04-14 21:50