Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 67.15%1.49fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.32%66.78%67.44%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.401.4773.53%71.02%71.17%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 32.85%3.04fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.22%32.56%35.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.802.762.9537.74%35.75%36.17%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 67.15%; Utah Utes (Visit): 32.85%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.47, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -1.29%E -0.880%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -12.94%E -4.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.64%E -1.82%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.94%E -4.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:03
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.98%E -2.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.30%E -4.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.65%E -3.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.09%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -5.32%E -3.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -8.67%E -3.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.32%E -3.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -11.30%E -4.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 16:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.32%E -3.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -11.30%E -4.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.32%E -3.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -11.30%E -4.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 12:40
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -7.03%E -2.48%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 15:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.09%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.09%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:20
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.68%E -6.38%K -24.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%5.5%2026-03-20 21:34