The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Cincinnati Bearcats v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 65.30%1.53fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.45%65.06%67.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.5072.46%69.74%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 34.70%2.88fair odd
EV -0.074%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%34.55%34.94%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.712.8840.00%36.75%36.97%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 65.30%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 34.70%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.882. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.880, with an expected value of -0.074%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.05%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:16
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.35%E -2.26%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 17:15
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -9.44%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 13:50
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -5.97%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.88%E -7.16%K -26.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -0.074%E -0.026%K -0.039%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 17:25
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.88%E -7.16%K -26.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -0.074%E -0.026%K -0.039%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.88%E -7.16%K -26.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -0.074%E -0.026%K -0.039%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.91%8.4%2026-03-06 19:45