Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 67.48%1.48fair odd

EV -2.15%

Edge -1.48%

Kelly -4.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.88%67.70%67.70%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.391.391.4574.63%71.89%71.94%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 32.52%3.08fair odd

EV +2.42%

Edge +0.769%

Kelly +1.13%

Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.84%32.30%32.30%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.892.833.1536.36%34.65%35.27%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 67.48%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 32.52%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -9.57%E -7.14%K -28.15%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +2.42%E +0.769%K +1.13%G +0.027%	6.4%	2026-05-15 14:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.87%E -4.98%K -18.08%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-15 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.84%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-15 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -6.87%E -4.98%K -18.08%G +0.000%	2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -2.78%E -0.930%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-15 16:05
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.84%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-15 18:35
1xBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -2.82%E -1.96%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -8.31%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-15 18:15
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.15%E -1.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-15 07:39
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-15 07:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-15 07:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-15 07:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.