Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 67.57%1.48fair odd

EV -5.40%

Edge -3.86%

Kelly -13.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.67%68.07%67.57%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.391.401.4074.63%72.20%71.43%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 32.43%3.08fair odd

EV +3.78%

Edge +1.18%

Kelly +1.72%

Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.52%31.93%32.43%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.922.883.2035.71%34.29%34.78%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 67.57%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 32.43%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.82%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +3.78%E +1.18%K +1.72%G +0.065%	5.9%	2026-05-15 17:19
1xBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.71%E -0.902%K -1.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-15 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.78%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.36%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-15 16:44
DraftKings🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-15 15:20
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-15 16:19
Bally Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-15 16:40
BetRivers🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-15 16:45
betPARX🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-15 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.