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Cincinnati Bearcats v Bowling Green Falcons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)
assuming max odds 1.25
Bowling Green Falcons (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 78.36%; Bowling Green Falcons (Visit): 21.64%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.25, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.05%E -1.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -18.86%E -5.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.44%EV -19.08%E -5.10%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-25 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.96%E -4.97%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.63%E -0.585%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.96%E -4.97%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.63%E -0.585%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.96%E -4.97%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.63%E -0.585%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.96%E -4.97%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.96%E -4.97%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.75%E -5.67%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.63%E -0.585%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.