Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

36%

64%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 36.22%2.76fair odd

EV +4.67%

Edge +1.61%

Kelly +2.47%

Growth +0.115%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.63%36.05%36.27%38.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.612.602.8941.67%38.30%38.46%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 63.78%1.57fair odd

EV -3.69%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -7.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.38%63.95%63.73%67.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.471.481.5171.43%68.17%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 36.22%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 63.78%. For Charlotte 49ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV +4.67%E +1.61%K +2.47%G +0.115%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -10.70%E -7.65%K -26.76%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-04 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯	2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV +4.67%E +1.61%K +2.47%G +0.115%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -10.70%E -7.65%K -26.76%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-04 20:50
BetUS🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.41%E +0.502%K +0.781%G +0.011%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.70%E -7.65%K -26.76%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-04 20:45
BetMGM🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.22%E -0.820%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.70%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-04 20:50
Bovada🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-04 22:54
FanDuel🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-04 21:25
theScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 21:25
DraftKings🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-04 02:55
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.31%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-04 20:55
1xBet🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -9.82%E -3.94%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-04 21:30
BetRivers🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -3.69%E -2.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-04 21:25
betPARX🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -3.69%E -2.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-04 21:25
Bally Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -3.69%E -2.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-04 21:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.