Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 52.67%1.90fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%52.85%52.85%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.771.8059.52%56.95%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 47.33%2.11fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.41%47.15%47.15%48.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.002.0252.36%50.49%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 52.67%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 47.33%. For South Florida Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -4.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 15:33
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 14:44
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 14:46
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 15:40
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.17%E -4.21%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 20:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 17:55
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.36%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:14
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.36%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 15:58
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.36%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -11.52%E -6.86%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 18:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -11.52%E -6.86%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 18:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -11.52%E -6.86%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%3.9%2026-03-27 21:40