Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 38.94%2.57fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +3.03%
Growth +0.156%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%38.48%38.93%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.442.402.7042.92%41.07%41.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 61.06%1.64fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%61.52%61.07%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.28%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 38.94%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 61.06%. For Charlotte 49ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +5.15%E +1.91%K +3.03%G +0.156%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:29
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +3.20%E +1.21%K +1.94%G +0.062%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 19:28
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -1.86%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -7.80%E -5.17%K -15.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 19:39
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -5.37%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.54%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:35
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.54%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 19:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.54%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.93%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.93%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.97%E -3.88%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:44
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.97%E -3.88%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:45
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.97%E -3.88%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:45
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.26%E -3.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%5.4%2026-04-14 21:25