Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Canisius Golden Griffins v Siena Saints

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Canisius Golden Griffins (Local)

Prediction 62.24%1.61fair odd

EV +3.31%

Edge +2.00%

Kelly +5.02%

Growth +0.166%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.65%62.20%62.27%63.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.491.531.521.6667.11%65.22%65.79%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Siena Saints (Visit)

Prediction 37.76%2.65fair odd

EV -2.57%

Edge -0.996%

Kelly -1.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.61%37.80%37.73%42.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.432.452.5844.44%41.14%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Canisius Golden Griffins (Local): 62.24%; Siena Saints (Visit): 37.76%. For Canisius Golden Griffins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +3.31%E +2.00%K +5.02%G +0.166%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -14.65%E -6.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-13 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.823%E +0.508%K +1.33%G +0.011%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -15.03%E -6.68%K -12.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-13 18:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-13 18:55
betPARX🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.12%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-13 18:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.12%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-13 18:55
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.12%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-13 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-13 18:55
DraftKings🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-13 18:40
BetMGM🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-13 18:55
Bovada🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-13 18:43
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-13 18:55
FanDuel🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -7.27%E -4.88%K -14.83%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -2.57%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-13 18:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.