The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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California Golden Bears v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.00%55.99%56.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.681.691.7160.98%59.65%59.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.27%44.00%44.01%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.142.152.1647.85%46.81%46.51%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 56.03%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 43.97%. For California Golden Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -4.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 10:00
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 03:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:25
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.11%E -3.88%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 15:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.23%E -3.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 03:34
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 05:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.11%E -4.94%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.11%E -4.94%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:45
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.11%E -4.94%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%5.0%2026-05-02 20:59