The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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California Golden Bears v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 54.01%1.85fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.54%53.93%58.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.731.7763.69%58.54%57.97%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.32%45.46%46.07%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.2350.00%48.02%48.19%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 54.01%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 45.99%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -15.21%E -9.69%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV +2.56%E +1.15%K +2.08%G +0.053%8.5%2026-05-14 18:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -15.21%E -9.69%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV +2.56%E +1.15%K +2.08%G +0.053%8.5%2026-05-14 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -15.21%E -9.69%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV +2.56%E +1.15%K +2.08%G +0.053%8.5%2026-05-14 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.19%E -4.82%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.50%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 19:25
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.03%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -2.96%E -1.40%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.65%E -4.47%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 00:18
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.65%E -4.47%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.65%E -4.47%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 20:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.03%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 19:15
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.73%E -5.16%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:15
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 35.09%1.00I 100.00%NM 64.91%54.1%2026-05-15 01:10