Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.28
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 74.41%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 25.59%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -0.187%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -10.94%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -6.25%E -4.96%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 12:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.22%E -7.56%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.187%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 19:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.40% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 19:19 |