Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.69
assuming max odds 2.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 57.59%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 42.41%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -2.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -9.25%E -4.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.21%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 02:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.12%E -3.76%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.13%E -3.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -5.85%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.31%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -11.31%E -7.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -11.31%E -7.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -11.31%E -7.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |