Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears v Sacramento St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 67.90%1.47fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -10.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%67.89%67.70%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.371.361.4173.53%72.79%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.11%32.30%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.922.953.0036.63%34.23%33.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 67.90%; Sacramento St Hornets (Visit): 32.10%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -3.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.26%E -3.02%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.93%E -3.52%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 03:14
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.93%E -3.52%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.29%E -4.56%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 18:14
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.29%E -4.56%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:23
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.59%EV -6.97%E -5.09%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.41%EV -12.38%E -4.53%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:49
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:09
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.65%E -5.63%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.