The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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California Golden Bears v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 36.07%2.77fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%36.23%36.17%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.592.7040.00%38.73%38.54%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 63.93%1.56fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.77%63.83%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.451.5369.93%68.31%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 36.07%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 63.93%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -2.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.57%E -6.00%K -19.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 00:59
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 01:00
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.94%E -5.51%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.94%E -5.51%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.94%E -5.51%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 00:59
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 00:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.94%E -5.51%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 01:00
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.75%E -3.46%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.75%E -3.46%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:59
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 00:59
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.57%E -6.00%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%5.1%2026-03-14 01:00