The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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California Golden Bears v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 35.14%2.85fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.893%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.00%35.19%35.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.662.642.8038.46%37.62%37.88%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 64.86%1.54fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -8.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.13%65.00%64.81%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.441.441.4870.92%69.35%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 35.14%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 64.86%. For California Golden Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.61%E -0.574%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 02:04
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.01%E -2.71%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 09:28
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.11%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 01:55
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.95%E -4.11%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 02:48
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.18%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.95%E -4.11%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.18%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.95%E -4.11%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.95%E -4.11%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:55
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.25%E -5.07%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:45
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -8.28%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -5.31%E -3.63%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 17:10
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.95%E -4.11%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.60%E -4.58%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.55%E -6.06%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%5.0%2026-03-15 19:50