The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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California Golden Bears v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.63%29.44%31.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.153.153.3033.56%31.78%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 70.59%1.42fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -11.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.66%70.37%70.56%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.331.331.3675.76%75.16%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 29.41%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 70.59%. For California Golden Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:45
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.30%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.30%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.41%E -4.04%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 15:50
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:48
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 18:54
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:45
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:45
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.66%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:54
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.24%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 18:44
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 18:45
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 18:45
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -12.36%E -4.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%5.1%2026-03-14 20:30