The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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California Golden Bears v Louisville Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +2.58%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.98%40.00%43.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.332.352.6046.73%42.86%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.46%60.02%60.00%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.581.571.6567.57%63.42%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 40.05%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 59.95%. For California Golden Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +4.13%E +1.59%K +2.58%G +0.107%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.28%E -7.62%K -23.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +2.13%E +0.836%K +1.37%G +0.029%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -11.28%E -7.62%K -23.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:24
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.48%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.48%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:25
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:00
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -11.09%E -4.99%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -3.48%E -2.16%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -14.29%E -6.68%K -12.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -1.08%E -0.657%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:05
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -14.29%E -6.68%K -12.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -1.08%E -0.657%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -14.29%E -6.68%K -12.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -1.08%E -0.657%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-04-19 19:30