Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV +0.198%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.75%25.77%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.9029.41%27.63%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 74.31%1.35fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -14.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%74.25%74.23%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.2980.65%78.74%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 25.69%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 74.31%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.198%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.198%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 14:09
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.37%E -0.624%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 14:00
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.37%E -0.624%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 15:49
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.66%E -0.975%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:29
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 20:29
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 22:40
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.22%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 22:30
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 14:50
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 14:48
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 14:50
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -9.05%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -9.05%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 15:10
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 22:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 22:30
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.86%E -6.34%K -32.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 11:09
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-06-06 15:50