Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs v Washington St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 72.59%1.38fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -10.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%72.53%72.70%74.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.291.291.3379.37%77.70%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV +0.040%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.015%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%27.47%27.30%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.503.6531.25%29.22%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 72.59%; Washington St Cougars (Visit): 27.41%. For Washington St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.649. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.650, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.040%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.040%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 21:55
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 19:15
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 23:34
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 23:45
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 13:09
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.84%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.16%EV -11.20%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.