The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cal Poly Mustangs v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%33.45%33.65%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.772.752.9037.74%36.06%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 66.60%1.50fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -9.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.79%66.55%66.35%67.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.401.4472.46%70.99%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 33.40%; USC Trojans (Visit): 66.60%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -3.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 03:20
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.09%E -5.86%K -21.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:05
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.09%E -5.86%K -21.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:04
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.09%E -5.86%K -21.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:04
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 03:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 09:29
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -9.49%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -9.49%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 18:39
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.76%E -3.33%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 03:45
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.32%EV -11.16%E -4.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.68%EV -7.42%E -5.34%K -19.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 05:25
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.