The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cal Poly Mustangs v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 38.27%2.61fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.35%38.15%39.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.432.422.5042.02%41.19%41.41%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 61.73%1.62fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.51%61.65%61.85%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.67%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 38.27%; USC Trojans (Visit): 61.73%. For USC Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -3.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 20:59
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:20
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.94%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.94%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 18:29
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.01%E -2.88%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:29
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.01%E -2.88%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:29
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.01%E -2.88%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:29
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -8.54%E -3.57%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -8.54%E -3.57%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:19
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.92%E -3.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.92%E -3.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.92%E -3.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:34
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.92%E -3.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -8.64%E -5.84%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.