The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cal Poly Mustangs v UC Davis Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 69.89%1.43fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -7.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.45%69.95%69.66%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.361.3975.19%73.88%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Davis Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 30.11%3.32fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.952%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%30.05%30.34%32.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.073.093.2534.72%32.59%32.36%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 69.89%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 30.11%. For UC Davis Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -2.85%E -2.05%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -13.28%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 19:30
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.95%E -3.64%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.14%E -0.659%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 19:27
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.95%E -3.64%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -4.95%E -3.64%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -4.95%E -3.64%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 19:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.95%E -3.64%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 19:29
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.65%E -4.18%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -5.65%E -4.18%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -8.46%E -2.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 19:29
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.35%E -4.74%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 19:26
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.05%E -5.30%K -21.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 19:29
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.05%E -5.30%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-23 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 41.15%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.85%69.9%2026-03-23 19:29