The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Cal Poly Mustangs v Saint Mary's Gaels

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -8.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%65.89%66.27%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4672.46%70.02%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.11%33.73%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.752.8838.17%36.30%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 65.88%; Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit): 34.12%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.81%E -2.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:52
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 00:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 00:59
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.970%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 00:58
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.13%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -4.13%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -4.13%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 01:00
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 00:59
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.11%E -5.04%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -1.74%E -0.605%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.11%E -5.04%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -2.42%E -0.848%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.76%E -5.55%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 39.68%1.00I 100.00%NM 60.32%65.8%2026-05-31 00:46