Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Utah Tech Trailblazers

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 71.82%1.39fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -11.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.13%71.88%75.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.311.3481.30%77.47%76.63%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit)

Prediction 28.18%3.55fair odd
EV +5.67%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +2.06%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%27.87%28.12%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.7531.25%29.20%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 71.82%; Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit): 28.18%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -11.66%E -9.48%K -50.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +5.67%E +1.51%K +2.06%G +0.117%8.0%2026-04-20 21:49
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -11.66%E -9.48%K -50.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +5.67%E +1.51%K +2.06%G +0.117%8.0%2026-04-20 21:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -11.66%E -9.48%K -50.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +5.67%E +1.51%K +2.06%G +0.117%8.0%2026-04-20 21:50
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.79%E -6.92%K -32.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.37%E -0.392%K -0.549%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 23:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.48%E -3.37%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.91%E -4.52%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.91%E -4.52%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 22:55
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.20%E -3.94%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.76%E -2.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 21:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.20%E -3.94%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 22:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%5.2%2026-04-20 22:55