Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 45.74%2.19fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.65%45.56%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.66%48.66%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 54.26%1.84fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.35%54.44%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.731.731.7759.17%57.80%57.97%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 45.74%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 54.26%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.66%E -0.773%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.30%E -4.91%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.21%E -4.22%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 22:49
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.21%E -4.22%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 22:49
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.32%E -2.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.96%E -2.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:49
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.78%E -2.81%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.76%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 22:49
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.78%E -2.81%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.76%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 22:49
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.78%E -2.81%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.76%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 22:49
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:49
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.21%E -4.22%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 22:48
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.96%E -2.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.96%E -2.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 22:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.96%E -2.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%6.8%2026-05-19 22:50