Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

31%

69%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd

EV +1.18%

Edge +0.358%

Kelly +0.514%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.57%30.55%30.95%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.953.083.023.3033.90%32.49%33.11%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 69.34%1.44fair odd

EV -1.54%

Edge -1.08%

Kelly -3.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.51%69.45%69.05%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.321.351.351.4275.76%74.07%73.80%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 30.66%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 69.34%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.18%E +0.358%K +0.514%G +0.006%	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.48%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-16 18:35
1xBet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.156%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.39%E -4.74%K -18.27%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-16 17:30
theScore Bet🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-16 18:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -3.11%E -0.984%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.84%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-16 18:44
BetRivers🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-16 18:35
Bally Bet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-16 18:35
betPARX🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-16 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-16 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.40%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.01%E -3.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-16 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.40%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.01%E -3.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-16 16:05
DraftKings🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.01%E -3.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-16 18:55
888sport🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.83%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.83%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.83%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 16:05
Bovada🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.83%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 18:54
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-05-16 16:05
Caesars🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.54%E -1.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-16 18:25
BetUS🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.01%E -3.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 16:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 37.11%	1.18I 84.75%NM 62.89%	34.7%	2026-05-16 16:05