Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

31%

69%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 30.99%3.23fair odd

EV -0.839%

Edge -0.262%

Kelly -0.381%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.52%30.83%31.03%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.953.033.003.2033.90%32.97%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 69.01%1.45fair odd

EV -4.76%

Edge -3.45%

Kelly -12.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.29%69.17%68.97%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.361.361.3875.19%73.56%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 30.99%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 69.01%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.839%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.839%E -0.262%K -0.381%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.52%E -5.61%K -22.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-14 20:35
1xBet🎯	3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.01%E -0.961%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-14 23:25
Caesars🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-14 16:20
theScore Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-14 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.18%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-14 20:39
Bovada🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-14 05:25
LowVig.ag🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.42%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-14 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.42%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-14 16:20
DraftKings🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-13 21:15
BetMGM🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-13 22:44
888sport🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-14 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-14 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-14 14:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-14 18:03
BetRivers🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-14 20:30
Bally Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-14 20:30
betPARX🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-14 20:30
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.21%E -6.18%K -24.89%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-05-14 22:00
BetUS🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-14 16:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.