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BYU Cougars v Cincinnati Bearcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BYU Cougars (Local)
assuming max odds 3.60
Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 28.66%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 71.34%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.18%E +0.884%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.318%E +0.091%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -1.12%E -0.323%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.55%E -5.00%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -7.71%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.12%E -3.85%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -7.71%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.12%E -3.85%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.26%E -5.59%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.41%E -3.29%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -5.12%E -3.85%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.57%E -3.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.12%E -3.85%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -13.15%E -4.34%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -3.69%E -2.74%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -2.98%E -2.19%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -2.98%E -2.19%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -2.98%E -2.19%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |