Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 37.91%2.64fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%37.85%37.97%38.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.472.462.5741.67%40.41%40.65%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 62.09%1.61fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -8.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.17%62.15%62.03%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.501.501.5468.03%66.49%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 37.91%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 62.09%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -2.57%E -0.999%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -2.57%E -0.999%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:45
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -4.46%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 04:15
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 04:58
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.22%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 06:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:33
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:25
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -7.50%E -3.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.38%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:05
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -8.63%E -3.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.01%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 18:30
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.01%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.73%E -5.94%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%5.2%2026-03-14 18:39