Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.76%27.81%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.343.303.5031.45%29.93%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 72.33%1.38fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -11.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.67%72.24%72.19%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.301.301.3378.74%76.92%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 27.67%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 72.33%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -3.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 16:40
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 17:00
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:55
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.54%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:37
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.25%E -4.01%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 20:49
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -7.58%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 20:54
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:00
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:00
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.80%E -2.86%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.80%E -2.86%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 17:09
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 17:00
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 20:55
BetUS🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -12.01%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -4.52%E -3.43%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%5.0%2026-03-13 20:39