Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Cal Baptist Lancers

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 41.21%2.43fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%41.27%41.18%42.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.212.262.272.3045.25%44.18%44.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit)

Prediction 58.79%1.70fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -7.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.70%58.73%58.82%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.601.6263.69%62.50%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 41.21%; Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit): 58.79%. For Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -4.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 08:30
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 08:39
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.28%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:10
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:10
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -8.93%E -4.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%5.4%2026-03-06 21:39