Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Cal Baptist Lancers

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

45%

55%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd

EV +3.79%

Edge +1.65%

Kelly +2.92%

Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.87%45.05%45.19%48.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.942.082.062.3051.55%48.04%48.43%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit)

Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd

EV -1.23%

Edge -0.682%

Kelly -1.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.87%54.95%54.81%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.711.711.8062.89%58.60%58.65%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 45.13%; Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit): 54.87%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +3.79%E +1.65%K +2.92%G +0.111%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.75%E -8.02%K -21.61%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-05 20:58
BetMGM🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-05 20:54
DraftKings🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-05 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-05 20:40
BetUS🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-05 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.59%E -3.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 21:48
FanDuel🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.04%E -3.42%K -6.64%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-05 21:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-05 20:59
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-05 21:45
betPARX🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.84%E -4.38%K -8.67%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-05 21:40
BetRivers🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.84%E -4.38%K -8.67%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-05 21:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.84%E -4.38%K -8.67%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-05 21:40
1xBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -12.45%E -6.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -1.23%E -0.682%K -1.53%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 21:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%	8.0%	2026-03-05 21:55