Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.85
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 26.41%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 73.59%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +1.68%E +0.436%K +0.589%G +0.010% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.01%E -6.41%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.28%E -5.78%K -27.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:23 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.01%E -6.41%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |