The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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BYU Cougars v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.522%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.41%28.96%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.173.4034.72%31.97%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 70.96%1.41fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%70.59%71.04%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.84%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 29.04%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 70.96%. For BYU Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.25%E -0.369%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:40
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.80%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 15:40
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.23%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 16:14
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.80%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:45
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.63%E -4.23%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.63%E -4.23%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.63%E -4.23%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:30
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:45
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.63%E -4.23%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:30
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.08%E -1.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 12:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.23%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.13%E -3.64%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.92%E -3.67%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 16:10
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.50%E -2.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 15:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.50%E -2.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:50
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.50%E -2.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:50
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.50%E -2.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%5.0%2026-04-16 18:55