The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bucknell Bison v Navy Midshipmen

Kickoff: 2026-05-11 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison (Local)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.38%40.56%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.362.332.5544.64%42.43%42.92%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Navy Midshipmen (Visit)

Prediction 59.46%1.68fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%59.62%59.44%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.581.6266.67%63.80%63.09%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucknell Bison (Local): 40.54%; Navy Midshipmen (Visit): 59.46%. For Bucknell Bison (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.37%E +1.32%K +2.18%G +0.073%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 06:14
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -1.49%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -10.81%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 13:19
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -1.49%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -10.81%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 13:20
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -1.49%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -10.81%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 13:29
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.71%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.46%E -3.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 15:09
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.33%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 16:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.46%E -3.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -7.17%E -3.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 16:48
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.79%E -3.91%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.20%E -4.10%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.67%E -2.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%5.1%2026-05-11 16:59