Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison (Local)

Prediction 58.14%1.72fair odd
EV -0.000%
Edge -0.000%
Kelly -0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%57.78%58.14%59.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.7264.10%61.62%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%42.22%41.86%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.242.2647.62%45.32%44.64%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucknell Bison (Local): 58.14%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 41.86%. For Bucknell Bison (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72001. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72000, with an expected value of -0.0003%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -10.42%E -4.87%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:53
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -12.09%E -5.76%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.91%E -1.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.00%E -4.65%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.23%E -2.78%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 18:00
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.91%E -3.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 17:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.40%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.74%E -4.01%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.30%E -5.96%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:59
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.30%E -5.96%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:59
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.30%E -5.96%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 63.90%1.77I 56.50%NM 36.10%56.5%2026-05-18 17:59