Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles (Local)

Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.28%36.27%37.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.7040.82%39.02%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 63.72%1.57fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -4.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.31%63.72%63.73%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.471.5369.44%67.83%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston College Eagles (Local): 36.28%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 63.72%. For Boston College Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.05%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.60%E -5.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.33%E -4.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 15:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.96%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.24%E -5.72%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 00:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.96%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.24%E -5.72%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 00:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.96%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.24%E -5.72%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 00:44
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 16:04
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.24%E -5.72%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 15:55
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.50%E -1.64%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 16:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 16:01
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.33%E -4.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.33%E -4.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.33%E -4.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.86%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.22%E -3.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.22%E -3.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 16:00
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -8.95%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.05%E -3.39%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 18:30
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 16:48
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.24%E -5.72%K -18.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%4.8%2026-03-27 18:55